Mark Zuckerberg wants Meta to launch its own prediction market

The app would be independent of Meta's other social media offerings, although sources told the NYT that those social sites ...

Mark Zuckerberg Directed Meta to Create a Prediction Markets App

The experimental app, internally called “Arena,” would be independent of Facebook and Instagram. It could compete for ...

Why prediction markets’ election picks are useful, even when they seem wrong

Kalshi published campaign-style updates on his odds, and Polymarket hosted multiple active markets on whether Pratt would ...
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Mark Zuckerberg Wants a Prediction Market Too: NYT

Internally dubbed “Arena,” Meta is experimenting with a prediction market platform that uses points, the New York Times ...

People care more about being right than avoiding mistakes, study finds

Conventional wisdom says the best predictions are the ones that minimize mistakes, but new research suggests that is not necessarily how people see it. A study published in Management Science has ...

Before Kalshi and Polymarket there was the Iowa Electronic Markets

Prediction markets aren’t new. Election betting was common until the 1940s, then mysteriously faded away.There was an entire ...